Logistics Rate Outlook
5页1、2011 Logistics Rate Outlook - Going Up!Volatile oil and diesel prices, capacity shortages, another looming driver crisis, debilitating regulatory uncertainties, and an improving economy have lead industry analysts across all modes to one conclusion: Shippers will have to shoulder some of the burden associated with escalating transportation costs this year.By Patrick Burnson, Executive EditorJanuary 24, 2011 The good news is that an economic recovery is clearly underway, with demand in goods and
2、services keeping pace with the modest predictions Logistics Management presented six months ago in our 2010 mid-year forecast. But many analysts say that the overall economic picture in 2011 will begin with a whimper rather than a roar.For shippers, this means tighter “spend management” when it comes to choosing modes and routing as theyll be called upon to shoulder some of the burden associated with escalating transportation costs this year.In its most recent survey, the National Association fo
3、r Business Economics (NABE) projects a sluggish start. “Projections for real GDP growth remain sub-par through the first quarter of 2011, but accelerate gradually through the forecast period,” says NABE President Richard Wobbekind, who also serves as associate dean of the Leeds School of Business at the University of Colorado. “For next year as a whole, GDP growth is expected to be moderate.” Wobbekind adds that factors restraining growth include ongoing balance sheet restructuring by consumers
4、and businesses, as well as a diminished contribution to GDP growth from inventory restocking and government stimulus. “Confidence in the expansions durability is intact, but NABE panelists remain concerned about high levels of federal debt, a continuing high level of unemployment, increased business regulation, and rising commodity prices,” he says.Due to an uptick in consumer confidence at the end of last year, the NABE panel made modest revisions to its economic growth predictions for 2010 and
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