资源革命—满足全球能源、食品、饮用水需求.pdf

McKinsey Global InstituteResource Revolution: Meeting the world’s energy, materials, food, and water needsMcKinsey Global Institute McKinsey Sustainability the evolution of global financial markets; the economic impact of technology and innovation; and urbanization. Recent research has assessed job creation, resource productivity, cities of the future, and the impact of the Internet.MGI is led by three McKinsey it is not commissioned by any business, government, or other institution. For further information about MGI and to download reports, please visit Fraser Thompson, an MGI senior fellow; and Marc Zornes, a McKinsey project manager. The project team comprised Daniel Clifton, Nicholas Flanders, Kay Kim, Pranav Kumar, and Jackson Salovaara.This research has built on extensive past McKinsey work and that of our affiliates. It includes SRP’s greenhouse gas abatement cost curve and biomass model, the steel demand model of McKinsey’s Basic Materials Institute, the Global Energy Lauren Bird, Alix Bluhm, Dorothée D’Herde, Rebeca Robboy, and Andrew Whitehouse for their help in external relations; Julie Philpot, MGI’s editorial production manager; and Marisa Carder, visual graphics specialist.Many experts in academia, government, and industry have offered invaluable guidance, suggestions, and advice. Our particular thanks to Richard Cooper (Harvard University); Ron Oxburgh; Justin Adams, Silvia Boschetto, Roger Humphreville, Cameron Rennie, Christof Ruehl, and Ellen Williams (BP); Zhanguo Bai (World Soil Information); Simon Baptist and Cameron Hepburn (Vivid Economics); Francisco Barnes (Instituto Nacional de Ecologia); Frans Berkhout (Vrije Universiteit); Riccardo Biancalani, Sally Bunning, Parviz Koohafkan, Alexandre Meybeck, Shivaji Pandey, Jean Senahoun, Garry Smith, William Settle, and Robert van Otterdijk (Food and Agriculture Organization); Jane Bickerstaffe (The Industry Council for Packaging and the Environment); Murray Birt and Caio Koch-Weser (Deutsche Bank Group); Raimund Bleischwitz (Wuppertal Institute); Michael Blummel (International Livestock Research Institute); Peter Brabeck (Nestle); Carter Brandon, Julia Bucknall, Kirk Hamilton, Marianne Fay, Andrew Steer, and Mike Toman (World Bank); Jamie Butterworth (Ellen MacArthur Foundation); Kenneth Cassman (University of Nebraska–Lincoln); Colin Chartres (International Water Management Institute); Paul Collier (Oxford University); Peter Cunningham and Vivek Tulpule (Rio Tinto); Sean de Cleene (Yara); James Drackley (University of Illinois); Charles Emmerson and Bernice Lee (Chatham House); Magnus Ericsson (Raw Materials Group); Alex Evans (New York University); Judith Evans (Refrigeration Developments and Testing); David Fitzsimons (Oakdene Hollins); Tim Flannery (Macquarie University); Martina Floerke (University of Kassel); Jonathan Foley and Paul West (University of Minnesota); Stefan Giljum (Sustainable Europe Research Institute); Wayne Greene (Auburn University); Laurent Auguste and François Grosse (Veolia); Hal Harvey (ClimateWorks); Peter Hazell and Mark Rosegrant (International Food Policy Research Institute); Thomas Heller and Kath Rowley (Climate Policy Initiative); Estelle Herszenhorn (Waste and Resources Action Program); David Holzgraefe (Archer Daniels Midland Company); Farah Huq and Myriam Linster (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development); David Hutcheson (Animal-Agricultural Consulting); Michael Klein (Frankfurt School of Finance and Management); Roland Kupers (Smith School for Enterprise and Environment at Oxford University); Jim Leape and Laszlo Mathe (WWF); Walter Levy (NCH); Hermann Lotze-Campen (Potsdam Institute); Stewart Maginnis (International Union for Conservation of Nature); Paul McMahon and Justin Mundy (The Prince’s Charities’ International Sustainability Unit); Rima Mekdaschi-Studer (University of Bern); Carlos Mena and Leon Terry (Cranfield University); Clay Mitchell (Mitchell Farm); Rakesh Mohan (Yale University); Michael Obersteiner (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis); Lindene Patton and Richard Lintern (Zurich Financial Services); Gueorgui Pirinski (BHP Billiton); Jules Pretty (University of Essex); Usha Rao-Monari (International Finance Corporation); Sergio Raposo de Medeiros (Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation); Simon Ratcliffe and Malcolm Ridout (Department for International Development); Katherine Richardson (University of Copenhagen); Mahendra Shah (Qatar National Food Security Program); Peter Smith (University of Aberdeen); Samantha Smith (World Wildlife Fund); Mike Spence (New York University); Meghan Stasz (Grocery Manufacturers Association); Nicholas Stern (Grantham Research Institute); Graeme Sweeney (Shell); Philip Thomas (World Energy Council); Jasper van de Staaij (Ecofys); Henry Venema (International Institute for Sustainable Development); Ernst Von Weizsäcker (Internationa。