BP世界能源展望2018中文版

1、BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 3 BP p.l.c. 2018 2040BP 2018 BP 2018 4 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP2040BP BP2018BPBP 2018 5 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP40BP2040BP 2018 6 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP ( Bob Dudley ) BP 2018 7 BP p.l.c. 2018 2040 252570%BP 2018 8 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 9 BP p.l.c. 2018 40%2040BP 2018 10 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 11 BP p.l.c. 2018 18 20 24 28 30 32 42 46 17 56 58 60 62 64 23 51 11 BP 2018 12 BP p.l.c. 2018 106 110 112 114 2040119 103 109 70 76 80 84 92 94 98 100 67 120 BP 2018

2、 13 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 15 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 16 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 17 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 18 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 19 BP p.l.c. 2018 概览 BP 2018 20 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 21 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 23 BP p.l.c. 2018 GDP% 年均 GDP25BP 2018 24 BP p.l.c. 2018 ventiCononal LNGneRussian pipeli0%1%2%3%4%5%67%8%910%1990- 2016 2016- 2040 BP 2018 25 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 26 BP p.l.c. 2018 GDPBP 2018 27 BP p.l.c. 2018 -3%-2-1%0%1%23%4%5%6%GDP% 0.0

3、0.51.01.52.01990-152015-401970- 1980- 1990- 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040BP 2018 28 BP p.l.c. 2018 1.3%20%2GDP GDP35%204020660-61BP 2018 29 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 31 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 32 BP p.l.c. 2018 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 20401990-20162016-2040BP 2018 33 BP p.l.c. 2018 * %2920%28-2930-3132-33BP 2018 34 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 35 BP p.l.c. 2018 1985-20002000-152015-302030-40199020002010202020302040* BP 2018 36 BP p.l.c. 2018 *

4、 1570%20402040BP 2018 37 BP p.l.c. 2018 Basecase:Fuelbyfueldetail BP 2018 38 BP p.l.c. 2018 %01%1%2%23%3%4%4%5%5%* % 1970- 1980- 1990- 2000- 2010- 2020- 2030- 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040BP 2018 39 BP p.l.c. 2018 *%05%1015%20%25%30%35%4045%2010-2015-2020-2025-2030-2035-, % 201520202025203020352040BP 2018 40 BP p.l.c. 2018 1.9% 1.0%2040 20%10%Basecase:Fuelbyfueldetail BP 2018 41 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 42 BP p.l.c. 2018 2016-2040 0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.51970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 204

5、01.52.02.53.03.52016 2040%66%1413% 7% . BP 2018 43 BP p.l.c. 2018 . 90%* * BP 2018 44 BP p.l.c. 2018 01234520162040* * 01234520162040BP 2018 45 BP p.l.c. 2018 .BP 2018 46 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 47 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 48 BP p.l.c. 2018 0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.520002010202020302040* *BP 2018 49 BP p.l.c. 2018 -100-500501001502002503003502000- 2005- 2010- 2015- 2020- 2025- 2030- 20352005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040BP 2018 50 BP p.l.c. 2018 204085% 94%2040 5%42-45BP 2018 51 BP p.l.c. 2018 .

6、 oalnventiConLNGRussian p elineip0.00.51.01.52.02.520002010202020302040* .BP 2018 53 BP p.l.c. 2018 * * NE DC (New E uropean Drive C ycle) 2040024681020002010202020302040/* 201620202025203020352040-01020304050201620202025203020352040%010%20%3040%23 .BP 2018 55 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 56 BP p.l.c. 2018 2016- 2040 /18.7 22.6 18.2 2.5 2.0 18.6 0510152025303540452016 2040.BP 2018 57 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 58 BP p.l.c. 2018 .BP 2018 59 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 60 BP p.l.c. 2018 2040204020302035 20402030

7、20% 2040 15%30%-BP 2018 61 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 62 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 63 BP p.l.c. 2018 GDP% 0%20%40%6080%100%01%2%34%5GDP1990-20162016-20401970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040BP 2018 64 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail %707%204094-9513%25 40%204030%25 20%BP 2018 65 BP p.l.c. 2018 . 2016-204020162040BP 2018 66 BP p.l.c. 2018 -3-2-1012345610000%20%4060%80%100%20 1620 4020 1620 4020 1620 4020 1620 40Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 67 BP p.l.c. 2018 203020402040BP 2018

8、BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 69 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 70 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 71 BP p.l.c. 2018 112-113BP 2018 72 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 73 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 74 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 75 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 76 BP p.l.c. 2018 1975-1995 1995-2015 2015-20302030-40199020002010202020302040: Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 77 BP p.l.c. 2018 201.5%2020204080%2025 BP 2018 78 BP p.l.c. 2018 GDP. Base

9、case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 79 BP p.l.c. 2018 0%15%30%4560%199020002010202020302040%02%4%68%GDP* % 1990-2016 2016-2040 *BP 2018 80 BP p.l.c. 2018 2545%70%Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 81 BP p.l.c. 2018 BP 2018 82 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 83 BP p.l.c. 2018 198025BP 2018 84 BP p.l.c. 2018 Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 85 BP p.l.c. 2018 %010%20%30%40%50%* 1990200020102020203020401970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040BP 2018 86 BP p.l.c. 2018 * Base case: Fuel by fuel detail BP 2018 87 BP p.l.c. 2018 GDP, . BP

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