Why Artificial Intelligence is the Future of Growth - Accenture - 埃森哲:人工智能——经济发展新动力
27页1、,By Mark Purdy and Paul Daugherty,CONTENTS,2,|,Why artificial intelligence is the future of growth,The new factor of productionThree channels of AI-led growth Factoring in AIClearing the path to an AI future,4121521,3,|,Why artificial intelligence is the future of growth,There has been marked decline in the ability of increases in capital investment and in labor to propel economic progress. These two levers are the traditional drivers of production, yet they are no longer able to sustain the ste
2、ady march of prosperity enjoyed in previous decades in most developed economies.,But long-term pessimism is unwarranted. With the recent convergence of a transformative set of technologies, economies are entering a new era in which artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to overcome the physical limitations of capital and labor and open up new sources of value and growth.,Increases in capital and labor are no longer driving the levels of economic growth the world has become accustomed to
3、and desires. Fortunately, a new factor of production is on the horizon, and it promises to transform the basis of economic growth for countries across the world.,Indeed, Accenture analyzed 12 developed economies and found that AI has the potential to double their annual economic growth rates by 2035.,To avoid missing out on this opportunity, policy makers and business leaders must prepare for, and work toward, a futurewith artificial intelligence. They must do so not with the idea that AI is sim
4、ply another productivity enhancer. Rather, they must see AI as the tool that can transform our thinking about how growth is created.,4,|,Why artificial intelligence is the future of growth,That missing element is how new technologies affect growth in the economy.,Traditionally, capital and labor are the “factors of production” that drive growth in the economy (see Figure 5). Growth occurs when the stock of capital or labor increase, or when they are used more efficiently. The growth that comes f
5、rom innovations and technological change in the economy is captured in total factor productivity (TFP).,Economists have always thought of new technologies as driving growth through their ability to enhance TFP. This made sense for the technologies that we have seen until now. The great technological breakthroughs over the last century electricity, railways and ITboosted productivity dramatically but did not create entirely new workforces.,Given this poor outlook, commentators say that a stagnant
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