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东北地区湿润指数及其干湿界线的变化特征张淑杰.pdf

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    • »29 »3 ù2011 M5Äl¹ u j1.0的湿润气候区和降水量大于700 mm的区域分布基本一致,湿润指数小于0.5的区域大于降水量小于400 mm的区域,湿润指数在半干旱气候区变异系数较大,为25%~36%,半湿润和湿润气候区的变异系数较小;标准差的分布与变异系数有相反的趋势半干旱—半湿润和湿润—半湿润分界线倾向于东北西南走向,但各年代界线摆动幅度较大,出现整体移动趋势以1960年代界线为变化基准线,1980年代向西移,2001~2007年代的变化幅度最大,向东南移动明显,半干旱区扩大,湿润区缩小,东北地区有逐渐变干的趋势,进一步说明气候变干的进程加快,干旱范围扩大,程度加强1oM:湿润指数;干湿界线;变化特征;东北地区Ïms Ë|:S162.3  ÓDSM’:A  ÓcI|:1000-7601(2011)03-0226-07ê¹ uÊ¿ö oÏÚ¹ u,^ö1¥Ï! j800 >1.0A Î uHumidregion2 ²TÐs2.1 ê¹ u M Ü (• I• Û¥ bWsƒ#MÄs2.1.1 东北地区多年参考蒸散量的空间分布 Vm1 V[ A,ê¹ u M• I• Û Ü (´v500~1100mm­WMÄ,Œ^¹ uWµs v,ï® 2_êïvhl¥ t]。

      Ú´ usƒv†„ 2,®´ usƒ‘C~†„ 2^ m3¹{,+Y^¹ u,È MÄlÏ,• I• Û1000mm[,î¹ê• I• ÛKv¥ uבC~†^ê• I• ÛKl¥¹ u,Bî600 mm[/,ê Üðv†¹800~1000mm,ê† ö uv†¹600~700mm227»3 ù       f~­©:ê¹ uA η”# ÄA¸L¥MÄ+˜m1 1961~2007 M M• I• Û Ü ( M9¥sƒFig.1 Distribution of mean annual referenceevapotranspiration in Northeast Chinafrom 1961~ 2007m2óê¹ u M• I• Û¥ï MMÄ„ï M Æ  ÜMÄ,Vm2 V Aê¹ u M•I• Ûï/† t],Ä10 ah4.4mm,V20W@60 M}ž90 M} • I• Û/† t]üA,Ä10 ah15.8 mm,2000 M[ªïA÷6,Ä10a9F111mm。

      1961~1983 M † M9• I• Û'Ú¿47a Ü (´,1983~2000 M'®¿47a Ü (£ Ü,2000 M[ªÚ¿47a Ü (´,1993 M[ª Æ9´¹µ,2000 Mªµîí6,ž2007 M  ÜÆ9´¹02.1.2 东北地区年参考蒸散量变化趋势的空间分布 Ù –,ê¹ u M Ü (• I• Û98ï/†¥ t],Œ †¹ u¥MÄ t]‚ÐM](m3)d9²TVü,Í47a Ÿê¹ u M Ü (• I• Û64%¥_Äï/† t],36%¥_Äï6 t], Ï8%¥_Ä6 t]A÷,18%¥_Ä/†t]A÷, Å¥_Ä t]‚A÷,Vü• I• ÛíA÷MÄ9Ø?C, aÔ¹ u `_qK®,†– Vr20~36 mm/10a,/† t]9KüA7v õ 2†„ꆕ I• Û¥6 t] üA,9–Bî¹15~20 mm/10a。

      m2 1961~ 2007 Mê¹ u M9• I• Û(a)#  Æ  Ü(b)¥MÄ wLFig.2 Temporal evolution of the average annual reference evapotranspirationin Northeast China and its accumulativeanomaly from 1961~20072.2  ©ÄAs um4^ê47 a Ü ( ©ÄA{„A η”sƒmA η”>1.0¥A Î © u„†£v¿700mm¥ u×sƒ'BÁ,ö1sƒ aꆄê†;A η”0.5~1.0­W¥öA Ω u,ö1sƒ‘C~、v†„ av†;A η”l¿0.5¥öÄl © uö1sƒ†„†,sƒ u×v¿†£l¿400mm¥ u×,®N A ŸöÄl„öA Î © u¨†£ Ÿ ßN ©ÄA ƒiµ,¨A η”228                   Äl¹ u j1.0¥A Î © u„†£v¿700mm¥ u×sƒ'BÁ,ö1sƒ a„ê†,¨A η”É›ÄA ƒ ßN÷ Z4Bt。

      3)ê¹ uA η”öÄl © uMs"” v,¹25%~36%,öA ΄A Î © u¥Ms"” l;Sµ¥sƒÐMs"”µMQ¥ t]A η”98ï/†¥ t],MÄ t]?3ê¥öÄlöA Î © u#A Î © u¥v†s¹ u,A η” `_qµMÄ–v¿žMÄ–,ÉB„ªü ©MÄ¥ÉñF y,ÄlñF  o,”øS.V €45 MÏSÄA © u×MÄ+˜[J].Äl u¹ Ø,2007,31(1):7—15.[10] ¿L Ë,… ,>½,©.ÏSd¹3ÿ bWÄ/Œùî(I): `/ ©¥ bWÄ/Œoå[J].1 –'÷Ð,2004,19(5):679—687.[11] )ê,>T,fž.• ITþ• Û9ØZE#  ßN[J].Š 2 j Ü,©.ê¹ u±$sƒ † o ©MÄu×Y‹[J].¹ Ø SÐ,2003,23(5):564—570.Change characteristics of humid index and dry/wet climateboundary in Northeast ChinaZHANG Shu-jie1, ZHANG Yu-shu1*, CHEN Peng-shi2, CAI Fu1, WU Jin-wen1, JI Rui-peng1(1.Institute of Atmospheric Environment, China Meteorological Administration, Shenyang, Liaoning 110016, China;2.Liaoning Meteorological Bureau, Shenyang, Liaoning 110001, China)Abstract:Using basicdaily data of 124weather stations from1961~2007, basedon Penman-Monteithmethod,reference evapotranspiration(RE)andHI are calculated aswell as theirs trends and changes of borderlineinthewet anddry climate zone are studied.The results show that RE rangesfrom 500~1000mmandis distributedwith largevalueinthe southwesternpart and small value inthe northeasternpart of Northeast China.Annual REwhichis decreasing espe-cially from 1960s~1990s and increasing significantly after 2000, demonstrates uptrend in 1/3 zone and downtrend in2/3 zone interms of spatial distribution.Humid climatic regionwhereHI is larger than 1.0 is basically consistent withwhere precipitation is greaterthan700mm.The areaof regionwhereHI is smallerthan0.5is largerthanwhere precipi-tation is less than400mm.The coefficient of variationof HIwithrangefrom 25%~36%is largerin semi-arid climaticregion and is smallerinsemi-humidandhumidclimaticregion.Withdecreasingin themassHI, semi-arid, semi-humidandthegreat mass humid climatic regionswhere positive amplitude of variation of climate tendency of HI is larger thanthe negative are running dry.The boundary between semi-arid/semi-humid andhumid/semi-humidrunns from northeastto southwest swingswildly and shows a trendof monolithic translation.At the basic lineof 1960s' boundary, the 1980sboundary move westward and the boundary 。

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