有调节的中介模型检验方法-竞争还是替补-温忠麟解读

724 心 理 学 报 46 卷 杂 , 模型中既包括结构方程 , 也包括测量方程 , 因 此 , 模型的拟合检验变得很重要 (温忠麟等 , 2012。 无论是显变量还是潜变量 , 都可以利用结构方程建 模 , 使用的模型可能比用显变量建立回归模型少 , 如方程 (2和 (3用一个模型就可以了 , 图 4 是其相 应的路径图。 本文讨论的有调节的中介模型只涉及一个调 节变量 , 如果前半路径和后半路径的调节变量不同, 分别是 U 和 V, 则图 4 和图 7 的中介效应变成 (a1+ 本文 a3U(b1+b2V, 本文提出的检验流程仍然适用。 讨论的模型只涉及一个中介变量 , 更复杂的模型包 括有调节的多重中介分析 (Hayes, 2013、多水平数 这些复杂 据的有调节的中介分析 (刘东等 , 2012等。 模型的检验方法和步骤 , 有待进一步研究。 参 考 文 献 Baron, R. M., & Kenny, D. A. (1986. The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 51, 11731182. Edwards, J. R., & Lambert, L. S. (2007. Methods for integrating moderation and medation: A general analytical framework using moderated path analysis. Psychological Methods, 12, 122. Ellis, P. D. (2010. The essential guide to effect sizes: Statistical power, meta-analysis, and the interpretation of research results. Cambridge, NY: Cambridge University Press. Fang, J., & Zhang, M. Q. (2010.Assessing point and interval estimation for the mediating effect: Distribution of the product, nonparametric bootstrap and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Acta Psychologica Sinica,44, 14081420. 方杰 , 张敏强 . (2012. 中介效应的点估计和区间估计 : 乘 积分布法、 非参数 Bootstrap 和 MCMC 法 . 心理学报 , 44, 14081420. Fritz, M. S., & MacKinnon, D. P. (2007. Required sample size to detect the mediated effect. Psychological Science, 18, 233239. Hayes, A. F. (2009. Beyond Baron and Kenny: Statistical mediation analysis in the new millennium. Communication Monographs, 76, 408420. Hayes, A. F. (2013. An introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis: A regression-based approach. New York: Guilford Press. Liu, D., Zhang, Z., & Wang, M. (2012.Moderated mediation and mediated moderation: Theory construction and model checking (Gao, Z. H Trans. In P. X. Cheng, Y. S. Xu, & L. J. Fan (Eds., Empirical methods in organization and management research (2nd ed, pp. 553587. Beijing: Peking University Press. 刘东 , 张震 , 汪默 . (2012. 被调节的中介和被中介的调节 : 理论构建与模型检验 ( 高中华译 . 见：陈晓萍 , 徐淑英 , 樊景立 ( 编 . 组织与管理研究的实证方法 ( 第二版 , pp. 553587. 北京 : 北京大学出版社 . MacKinnon, D. P. (2008. Introduction to statistical mediation analysis. Mahwah, NJ: Earlbaum. MacKinnon, D. P., Lockwood, C. M., Hoffman, J. M., West, S. G., & Sheets, V. A. (2002. A comparison of methods to test mediation and other intervening variable effects.Psychological Methods, 7, 83104. MacKinnon, D. P., Warsi, G., & Dwyer, J. H. (1995. A simulation study of mediated effect measures. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 30, 4162. Muller, D., Judd, C. M., & Yzerbyt, V. Y. (2005. When moderation is mediated and mediation is moderated. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 89, 852863. Preacher, K. J., & Hayes, A. F. (2004.SPSS and SAS procedures for estimating indirect effects in simple mediation models.Behavior Research Methods, Instruments, & Computers,36, 717731. Preacher, K. J., Rucker, D. D., & Hayes, A. F. (2007. Addressing moderated mediation hypotheses: Theory, methods, and prescriptions. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 42, 185227. Sobel, M. E. (1982. Asymptotic confidence interval for indirect effects in structural equation models.In S. Leinhardt.(Ed., Sociological methodology (pp. 290312. Washington, DC: American Sociological Association. Wen, Z., Chang, L, & Hau, K. T. (2006. Mediated moderator and moderated mediator. Acta Psychologica Sinica,38, 448452. 温忠麟 , 张雷 , 侯杰泰 . (2006. 有中介的调节变量和有调 节的中介变量 . 心理学报 , 38, 448452. Wen, Z., Chang, L, Hau, K. T., & Liu, H. (2004. Testing and application of the mediating effects. Acta Psychologica Sinica, 36, 614620. 温忠麟 , 张雷 , 侯杰泰 , 刘红云 . (2004. 中介效应检验程 序及其应用 . 心理学报 , 36, 614620. Wen, Z., Hau, K. T., & Chang, L. (2005. A comparison of moderator and mediator and their applications. Acta Psychologica Sinica, 37, 268274. 温忠麟 , 侯杰泰 , 张雷 . (2005. 调节效应与中介效应的比 较和应用 . 心理学报 , 37, 268274. Wen, Z., Liu, H., & Hau, K. T. (2012. Analyses of moderating and mediating effects. Beijing: Educational Science Publishing House. 温忠麟 , 刘红云 , 侯杰泰 . (2012. 调节效应和中介效应分 析 . 北京 : 教育科学出版社 . Ye, B., & Wen, Z. (2013. A discussion on testing methods for mediated moderation models: Discrimination and integration. Acta Psychologica Sinica, 45, 10501060. 叶宝娟 , 温忠麟 . (2013. 有中介的调节模型检验方法 : 甄 别和整合 . 心理学报 ,45, 10501060. Ye, B., Yang, Q., & Hu, Z. (2012. The effect mechanism of parental control, deviant peers and sensation seeking on drug Use among reform school students. Psychological Development and Education, 28, 641650. 不良同伴和感觉 叶宝娟 , 杨强 , 胡竹菁 . (2012. 父母控制、 寻求对 工读生 毒品使 用的影 响机制 , 心理发展与教育 , 28, 641650. Ye, B., Yang, Q., & Hu, Z. (2013. Effect of gratitude on adolescents academic achievement: Moderated mediating effect.Psychological Development and Education, 29, 192199. 叶宝娟 , 杨强 , 胡竹菁 . (2013.感恩对青少年学业成就的影 响：有调节的中介效应 , 心理发展与教育 , 29, 192199. Yuan, Y., & MacKinnon, D. P. (2009. Bayesian mediation analysis. Psychological Methods, 14, 301322. 5