2022年全球粮食展望报告

Food OutlookB IA N N U A L R E P O R T O N G LO B A L FO O D M A R K E T S16020221451302021115November 2022 Food OutlookB IA N N U A L R E P O R T O N G LO B A L FO O D M A R K E T SFood and Agriculture Organization of the United NationsRome, 2022 Required citation:FAO. 2022. Food Outlook Biannual Report on Global Food Markets. Food Outlook, November 2022. Rome. https:/doi.org/10.4060/cc2864enThe designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on thepart of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city orarea or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. The mention of specic companies or products of manufacturers,whether or not these have been patented, does not imply that these have been endorsed or recommended by FAO in preference to others of a similarnature that are not mentioned.The views expressed in this information product are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reect the views or policies of FAO.ISSN 0251-1959 printISSN 1560-8182 onlineISBN 978-92-5-137171-8© FAO, 2022Some rights reserved. This work is made available under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 IGO licence (CC BY-NC-SA 3.0 IGO; https:/creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/igo/legalcode).Under the terms of this licence, this work may be copied, redistributed and adapted for non-commercial purposes, provided that the work is appropriatelycited. In any use of this work, there should be no suggestion that FAO endorses any specic organization, products or services. The use of the FAOlogo is not permitted. If the work is adapted, then it must be licensed under the same or equivalent Creative Commons licence. If a translation of thiswork is created, it must include the following disclaimer along with the required citation: “This translation was not created by the Food and AgricultureOrganization of the United Nations (FAO). FAO is not responsible for the content or accuracy of this translation. The original Language edition shall bethe authoritative edition.”Disputes arising under the licence that cannot be settled amicably will be resolved by mediation and arbitration as described in Article 8 of the licenceexcept as otherwise provided herein. The applicable mediation rules will be the mediation rules of the World Intellectual Property Organization http:/www.wipo.int/amc/en/mediation/rules and any arbitration will be conducted in accordance with the Arbitration Rules of the United Nations Commission onInternational Trade Law (UNCITRAL).Third-party materials. Users wishing to reuse material from this work that is attributed to a third party, such as tables, gures or images, are responsiblefor determining whether permission is needed for that reuse and for obtaining permission from the copyright holder. The risk of claims resulting frominfringement of any third-party-owned component in the work rests solely with the user.Sales, rights and licensing. FAO information products are available on the FAO website (www.fao.org/publications) and can be purchased throughpublications-salesfao.org. Requests for commercial use should be submitted via: www.fao.org/contact-us/licence-request. Queries regarding rights andlicensing should be submitted to: copyrightfao.org.Photo credits (left to right/top to bottom):©AllFreeDownload; ©Shutterstock; ©Shutterstock; ©AllFreeDownload; ©PEXELS; ©PEXELS; ©iStock; ©AllFreeDownload; ©FAO; ©iStock; ©Freepik;©iStock; ©iStock; ©iStock; ©PEXELS; ©Shutterstock HIGHLIGHTSFHowever, increased climate WHEATCOARSE GRAINSAOs latest forecasts point to somewhat easing of market conditions for basic foodstuffs. With expectations of a record wheatproduction and slower utilization growth,global wheat inventories are set to rise in2022/23. However, most of the increasein stocks is anticipated to be concentratedin a few countries. Export disruptions andreduced import demand are seen reducingworldwheattradebelowthe2021/22level.A forecast fall in production is seentighteningthe global coarse grainmarkets in 2022/23, driving an expectedcontraction in global utilization andstocks. World trade in coarse grainsis predicted to decline slightly, mostlyreecting expectations of weaker importdemand and tighter export supplies.variability, conflicts and geopolitical tensions, bleak economic prospects, soaring agricultural input costs and export restrictions continue to pose challenges to global food commodity market stab